{
  "elections": [
    {
      "id": "bw-2026",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg",
      "state": "BW",
      "date": "2026-03-08",
      "seats": 120,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 75,
      "latest_poll": "2026-04-10",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "Grüne",
      "strongest_prob": 81.4,
      "strongest_color": "#46962b",
      "updated_at": "2026-06-12 07:07:04",
      "has_result": true,
      "result_winner": "Grüne",
      "result_pct": 30.2,
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 92,
      "confidence_score": null,
      "confidence_label": null
    },
    {
      "id": "rlp-2026",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz",
      "state": "RP",
      "date": "2026-03-22",
      "seats": 101,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 64,
      "latest_poll": "2026-03-19",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "CDU",
      "strongest_prob": 68.9,
      "strongest_color": "#1a1a1a",
      "updated_at": "2026-06-12 07:07:10",
      "has_result": true,
      "result_winner": "CDU",
      "result_pct": 30.6,
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 114,
      "confidence_score": null,
      "confidence_label": null
    },
    {
      "id": "st-2026",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt",
      "state": "ST",
      "date": "2026-09-06",
      "seats": 83,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 38,
      "latest_poll": "2026-07-03",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "AfD",
      "strongest_prob": 99.7,
      "strongest_color": "#009ee0",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-10 21:16:55",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 8,
      "confidence_score": 5.3,
      "confidence_label": "vorläufig"
    },
    {
      "id": "be-2026",
      "name": "Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin",
      "state": "BE",
      "date": "2026-09-20",
      "seats": 130,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 141,
      "latest_poll": "2026-07-01",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "CDU",
      "strongest_prob": 35.5,
      "strongest_color": "#1a1a1a",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-10 21:17:08",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 10,
      "confidence_score": 5.4,
      "confidence_label": "vorläufig"
    },
    {
      "id": "mv-2026",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern",
      "state": "MV",
      "date": "2026-09-20",
      "seats": 71,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 55,
      "latest_poll": "2026-07-09",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "AfD",
      "strongest_prob": 85.6,
      "strongest_color": "#009ee0",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-10 21:17:18",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 2,
      "confidence_score": 5.4,
      "confidence_label": "vorläufig"
    },
    {
      "id": "sl-2027",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Saarland",
      "state": "SL",
      "date": "2027-04-18",
      "seats": 51,
      "method": "dhondt",
      "total_polls": 32,
      "latest_poll": "2025-12-03",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "SPD",
      "strongest_prob": 63.8,
      "strongest_color": "#e3000f",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-10 21:17:26",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 220,
      "confidence_score": 1.9,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze"
    },
    {
      "id": "nw-2027",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen",
      "state": "NW",
      "date": "2027-04-25",
      "seats": 181,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 97,
      "latest_poll": "2026-06-28",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "CDU",
      "strongest_prob": 98.2,
      "strongest_color": "#1a1a1a",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-10 21:17:40",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 13,
      "confidence_score": 2.6,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze"
    },
    {
      "id": "sh-2027",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein",
      "state": "SH",
      "date": "2027-04-18",
      "seats": 69,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 42,
      "latest_poll": "2026-04-16",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "CDU",
      "strongest_prob": 99.2,
      "strongest_color": "#1a1a1a",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-10 21:18:02",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 86,
      "confidence_score": 1.9,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze"
    },
    {
      "id": "hb-2027",
      "name": "Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen",
      "state": "HB",
      "date": "2027-05-30",
      "seats": 87,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 33,
      "latest_poll": "2026-03-19",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "CDU",
      "strongest_prob": 55.2,
      "strongest_color": "#1a1a1a",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-10 21:18:16",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 114,
      "confidence_score": 1.5,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze"
    },
    {
      "id": "ni-2027",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Niedersachsen",
      "state": "NI",
      "date": "2027-09-26",
      "seats": 135,
      "method": "dhondt",
      "total_polls": 71,
      "latest_poll": "2026-04-22",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "CDU",
      "strongest_prob": 46.8,
      "strongest_color": "#1a1a1a",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-10 21:18:31",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 80,
      "confidence_score": 1.0,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze",
      "date_provisional": true
    },
    {
      "id": "by-2028",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Bayern",
      "state": "BY",
      "date": "2028-10-08",
      "seats": 180,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 180,
      "latest_poll": "2026-03-03",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "CSU",
      "strongest_prob": 98.8,
      "strongest_color": "#1a1a1a",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-10 21:18:39",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 130,
      "confidence_score": 1.0,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze",
      "date_provisional": true
    },
    {
      "id": "he-2028",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Hessen",
      "state": "HE",
      "date": "2028-10-08",
      "seats": 110,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 75,
      "latest_poll": "2026-04-29",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "CDU",
      "strongest_prob": 80.7,
      "strongest_color": "#1a1a1a",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-10 21:18:48",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 73,
      "confidence_score": 1.0,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze",
      "date_provisional": true
    },
    {
      "id": "eu-2029",
      "name": "Europawahl",
      "state": "DE",
      "date": "2029-06-10",
      "seats": 96,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 52,
      "latest_poll": "2024-06-08",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "CDU/CSU",
      "strongest_prob": 87.1,
      "strongest_color": "#1a1a1a",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-11 00:00:54",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 763,
      "confidence_score": 1.0,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze",
      "date_provisional": true
    },
    {
      "id": "btw-2029",
      "name": "Bundestagswahl",
      "state": "DE",
      "date": "2029-03-11",
      "seats": 630,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 2614,
      "latest_poll": "2026-07-09",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "AfD",
      "strongest_prob": 52.7,
      "strongest_color": "#009ee0",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-11 00:00:47",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 2,
      "confidence_score": 2.0,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze",
      "date_provisional": true
    },
    {
      "id": "bb-2029",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Brandenburg",
      "state": "BB",
      "date": "2029-09-23",
      "seats": 88,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 77,
      "latest_poll": "2026-06-24",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "AfD",
      "strongest_prob": 86.5,
      "strongest_color": "#009ee0",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-11 00:00:11",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 17,
      "confidence_score": 1.7,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze",
      "date_provisional": true
    },
    {
      "id": "sn-2029",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Sachsen",
      "state": "SN",
      "date": "2029-09-02",
      "seats": 120,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 74,
      "latest_poll": "2026-05-21",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "AfD",
      "strongest_prob": 94.5,
      "strongest_color": "#009ee0",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-11 00:00:18",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 51,
      "confidence_score": 1.1,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze",
      "date_provisional": true
    },
    {
      "id": "th-2029",
      "name": "Landtagswahl Thüringen",
      "state": "TH",
      "date": "2029-09-02",
      "seats": 88,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 95,
      "latest_poll": "2026-07-02",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "AfD",
      "strongest_prob": 89.0,
      "strongest_color": "#009ee0",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-11 00:00:27",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 9,
      "confidence_score": 1.9,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze",
      "date_provisional": true
    },
    {
      "id": "hh-2030",
      "name": "Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg",
      "state": "HH",
      "date": "2030-03-03",
      "seats": 121,
      "method": "sainte_lague",
      "total_polls": 45,
      "latest_poll": "2026-06-20",
      "has_simulation": true,
      "strongest_party": "SPD",
      "strongest_prob": 78.0,
      "strongest_color": "#e3000f",
      "updated_at": "2026-07-11 00:00:35",
      "latest_poll_days_ago": 21,
      "confidence_score": 1.6,
      "confidence_label": "Skizze",
      "date_provisional": true
    }
  ],
  "party_colors": {
    "CDU": "#1a1a1a",
    "CDU/CSU": "#1a1a1a",
    "CSU": "#0088ce",
    "SPD": "#e3000f",
    "Grüne": "#46962b",
    "AfD": "#009ee0",
    "FDP": "#ffed00",
    "Linke": "#be3075",
    "FW": "#ff8800",
    "BSW": "#732049",
    "SSW": "#003c8f",
    "Piraten": "#ff820a",
    "ÖDP": "#ff6600",
    "Volt": "#562883",
    "PARTEI": "#b5152b",
    "Sonstige": "#999999"
  },
  "updated_at": "2026-07-11T00:00:54.888876",
  "source": "Daten von dawum.de (Open Database License (ODbL))",
  "disclaimer": "Dies ist keine Wahlprognose. Umfragen bilden die aktuelle Stimmung ab. Die Simulation zeigt mögliche Szenarien auf Basis öffentlicher Umfragedaten."
}